Cloud Invasion
      by
      Ross M. Miller
      Miller Risk Advisors
      www.millerrisk.com
      May 9, 2011
      The arrival of the Auvio HD Tuner that I wrote
      about in March triggered some considerable reshuffling of my bedroom
      audio/video system. The Auvio
      is a hefty unit (even if it is mostly filled with air) and together with
      the Emotiva XDA-1 DAC that led
      to its purchase, there just was not space for everything in my
      "equipment rack." The first casualty was an ancient Panasonic
      VCR, which now resides on a nearby shelf where it can be pressed into
      service if ever needed to decipher ancient video media. Even without the
      VCR, the aggregate height of my remaining electronics exceeded the
      available vertical space by about an inch. The next component to go was my
      Sony DVP-NC80V DVD changer, an inexpensive unit that I got over five
      years ago because it was only DVD changer to play MP3 and WAV files from
      home-burnt DVDs at a time when USB drives were in their expensive infancy.
      Using all five of its DVD slots gave me vast amounts of MP3 music at a
      total media cost of about a dollar using loss-leader DVD blanks. Thanks to
      ever-advancing technology, players have slimmed down considerably and
      between ever-present USB port and networking capabilities; a multi-disk
      changer was no longer necessary.
      The best unit that I found that would fit in inch or so of remaining
      space was a Sony Blu-Ray player sold as both the BDP-S570
      and BDP-BX57. A good price for a new unit, which lists for around $250, is
      $130 for a new unit and $100 for a refurbished unit. I bought this unit so
      that I would be covered when the occasional need to play a Blu-Ray, DVD,
      CD, or SACD (yes, I have some of those) in the bedroom arose and I did not
      want to boot up my HP
      Slimline computer that can play all of them (except for SACD). While I
      knew that the player came with streaming media capabilities (and both
      Ethernet and WiFi to connect to them), I did not know just how useful they
      would be and how often that I would use them. These capabilities
      constitute another entire set of "apps" that considered together
      with those in the iPhone/iPad and Android worlds ramp up the threat
      against Windows.
      In an ideal world, the Blu-Ray player would be unnecessary because my
      Windows-based Slimline computer can, one way or another, do everything it
      could do and more. The Slimline, however, takes a few minutes to boot up
      and, like many Windows machines, is not particularly amenable to being put
      into a sleep state; indeed, it insists on waking up in the middle of the
      night and ultimately makes enough fan noise to wake me up as well. (I have
      tried to stop it from doing this, but with very limited success.) The Blu-Ray
      player boots up super-fast and can be kept on all the time as it is dead
      quiet when not playing a disc (and only mildly noisy when it is playing
      one; however, there do appear to be defective units out there that are
      quite noisy).
      The Sony player comes with lots of apps, even if they are not called
      that. The overall system is known as BRAVIA Internet Video and comes on
      selected Sony video products, including high-end Blu-ray players and HDTVs.
      There is no "app store;" one simply gets access to all the video
      and audio apps that Sony makes available. Sony provides a good selection
      of apps, far better than my sans Wi-Fi Oppo
      BDP-83 player that cost about 4 times as much as the Sony (on sale)
      and whose big advantage is that it plays DVD-A discs (of which I have
      exactly one) . The Sony has the obligatory Netflix (my Oppo doesn't even
      have that, and both players are 2010 models) as well as Pandora, Slacker,
      Amazon, YouTube, Crackle, Hulu Plus and several Sony proprietary channels.
      Sure, many nice services that are standard on smartphones are missing,
      such as SiriusXM and tunein (formerly known as Radiotime), but there is
      certainly enough there to keep one entertained for a long time.
      The net effect of the Sony player (and its various kin from competing
      manufacturers, including the breakthrough
      Roku box) is that while the ability to play a variety of physical
      discs is a nice bonus, the real value proposition is the ability to access
      all that cloud content at a truly bargain price. That the player is
      inexpensive makes economic sense because Sony gets a cut of all purchases
      made through the system, so it is the razor and the services are the
      blades. Still, even without buying any more blades, the razor works just
      fine. Through sheer luck, the day after I set my player up Amazon rolled
      out its Prime Instant Video that made thousands of movies and TV shows
      available for free to Amazon Prime members (of which I am one). Beyond
      Amazon, there is plentiful free video and music content available through
      the system, albeit sometimes at the cost of sitting through the occasional
      commercial and the inconvenience associated with resuming play at a latter
      time. (DVDs are great because you even months after you have played one, a
      good player will remember where you left off.)
      Like many things, Microsoft actually tried creating an integrated
      cloud-based media environment first and has failed spectacularly. My
      aforementioned Slimline computer is technically an HTPC (home theatre PC)
      that came with a Windows Media Center version of Vista (since upgraded to
      Windows 7). I used to be a fan of Windows Media Center, which has a user
      interface that rivals (and likely inspired) the Sony BRAVIA interface and
      its Sony precursors. The problem is that Windows Media Center has been
      losing apps over time rather than gaining them. It has none of the groovy
      apps mentioned above and its XM app, which was not bad, became
      nonfunctional some time ago as a result of changes necessitated by the
      merger with Sirius. Windows Media Center does two neat things that the
      Sony is missing: It has DVR functionally (though not in HD) and a good
      audio player. The Sony audio player is quite sad. It does not work with
      popular music servers such as Tversity and it lacks certain basic
      functionality, such as the ability to do anything with the music queue,
      including repeat the entire queue or a single track within it.
      PCs and traditional media will have their lunches eaten by the likes of
      phones, pads, and media players. The process is now well under way and is
      rapidly accelerating. While PCs can get at almost everything on these
      media appliances through a web browser, the app experience is generally
      far more convenient and polished than the browser experience. Pads and
      media players are already starting to merge, all the major media players
      can be remotely controlled via the iPad (and by various phones as well).
      It is only a matter of time before true convergence of these technologies
      is achieved, which is also likely to be about the time they are becoming
      obsolescent.
      My big project for the summer is redoing the way that I teach finance
      as part of a broader program of changing how I think about finance. My
      next several commentaries will outline what I am doing in that regard..
      
      
      Copyright 2011 by Miller Risk Advisors. Permission granted to
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provided a citation is made to www.millerrisk.com.