Cloud Invasion
by
Ross M. Miller
Miller Risk Advisors
www.millerrisk.com
May 9, 2011
The arrival of the Auvio HD Tuner that I wrote
about in March triggered some considerable reshuffling of my bedroom
audio/video system. The Auvio
is a hefty unit (even if it is mostly filled with air) and together with
the Emotiva XDA-1 DAC that led
to its purchase, there just was not space for everything in my
"equipment rack." The first casualty was an ancient Panasonic
VCR, which now resides on a nearby shelf where it can be pressed into
service if ever needed to decipher ancient video media. Even without the
VCR, the aggregate height of my remaining electronics exceeded the
available vertical space by about an inch. The next component to go was my
Sony DVP-NC80V DVD changer, an inexpensive unit that I got over five
years ago because it was only DVD changer to play MP3 and WAV files from
home-burnt DVDs at a time when USB drives were in their expensive infancy.
Using all five of its DVD slots gave me vast amounts of MP3 music at a
total media cost of about a dollar using loss-leader DVD blanks. Thanks to
ever-advancing technology, players have slimmed down considerably and
between ever-present USB port and networking capabilities; a multi-disk
changer was no longer necessary.
The best unit that I found that would fit in inch or so of remaining
space was a Sony Blu-Ray player sold as both the BDP-S570
and BDP-BX57. A good price for a new unit, which lists for around $250, is
$130 for a new unit and $100 for a refurbished unit. I bought this unit so
that I would be covered when the occasional need to play a Blu-Ray, DVD,
CD, or SACD (yes, I have some of those) in the bedroom arose and I did not
want to boot up my HP
Slimline computer that can play all of them (except for SACD). While I
knew that the player came with streaming media capabilities (and both
Ethernet and WiFi to connect to them), I did not know just how useful they
would be and how often that I would use them. These capabilities
constitute another entire set of "apps" that considered together
with those in the iPhone/iPad and Android worlds ramp up the threat
against Windows.
In an ideal world, the Blu-Ray player would be unnecessary because my
Windows-based Slimline computer can, one way or another, do everything it
could do and more. The Slimline, however, takes a few minutes to boot up
and, like many Windows machines, is not particularly amenable to being put
into a sleep state; indeed, it insists on waking up in the middle of the
night and ultimately makes enough fan noise to wake me up as well. (I have
tried to stop it from doing this, but with very limited success.) The Blu-Ray
player boots up super-fast and can be kept on all the time as it is dead
quiet when not playing a disc (and only mildly noisy when it is playing
one; however, there do appear to be defective units out there that are
quite noisy).
The Sony player comes with lots of apps, even if they are not called
that. The overall system is known as BRAVIA Internet Video and comes on
selected Sony video products, including high-end Blu-ray players and HDTVs.
There is no "app store;" one simply gets access to all the video
and audio apps that Sony makes available. Sony provides a good selection
of apps, far better than my sans Wi-Fi Oppo
BDP-83 player that cost about 4 times as much as the Sony (on sale)
and whose big advantage is that it plays DVD-A discs (of which I have
exactly one) . The Sony has the obligatory Netflix (my Oppo doesn't even
have that, and both players are 2010 models) as well as Pandora, Slacker,
Amazon, YouTube, Crackle, Hulu Plus and several Sony proprietary channels.
Sure, many nice services that are standard on smartphones are missing,
such as SiriusXM and tunein (formerly known as Radiotime), but there is
certainly enough there to keep one entertained for a long time.
The net effect of the Sony player (and its various kin from competing
manufacturers, including the breakthrough
Roku box) is that while the ability to play a variety of physical
discs is a nice bonus, the real value proposition is the ability to access
all that cloud content at a truly bargain price. That the player is
inexpensive makes economic sense because Sony gets a cut of all purchases
made through the system, so it is the razor and the services are the
blades. Still, even without buying any more blades, the razor works just
fine. Through sheer luck, the day after I set my player up Amazon rolled
out its Prime Instant Video that made thousands of movies and TV shows
available for free to Amazon Prime members (of which I am one). Beyond
Amazon, there is plentiful free video and music content available through
the system, albeit sometimes at the cost of sitting through the occasional
commercial and the inconvenience associated with resuming play at a latter
time. (DVDs are great because you even months after you have played one, a
good player will remember where you left off.)
Like many things, Microsoft actually tried creating an integrated
cloud-based media environment first and has failed spectacularly. My
aforementioned Slimline computer is technically an HTPC (home theatre PC)
that came with a Windows Media Center version of Vista (since upgraded to
Windows 7). I used to be a fan of Windows Media Center, which has a user
interface that rivals (and likely inspired) the Sony BRAVIA interface and
its Sony precursors. The problem is that Windows Media Center has been
losing apps over time rather than gaining them. It has none of the groovy
apps mentioned above and its XM app, which was not bad, became
nonfunctional some time ago as a result of changes necessitated by the
merger with Sirius. Windows Media Center does two neat things that the
Sony is missing: It has DVR functionally (though not in HD) and a good
audio player. The Sony audio player is quite sad. It does not work with
popular music servers such as Tversity and it lacks certain basic
functionality, such as the ability to do anything with the music queue,
including repeat the entire queue or a single track within it.
PCs and traditional media will have their lunches eaten by the likes of
phones, pads, and media players. The process is now well under way and is
rapidly accelerating. While PCs can get at almost everything on these
media appliances through a web browser, the app experience is generally
far more convenient and polished than the browser experience. Pads and
media players are already starting to merge, all the major media players
can be remotely controlled via the iPad (and by various phones as well).
It is only a matter of time before true convergence of these technologies
is achieved, which is also likely to be about the time they are becoming
obsolescent.
My big project for the summer is redoing the way that I teach finance
as part of a broader program of changing how I think about finance. My
next several commentaries will outline what I am doing in that regard..
Copyright 2011 by Miller Risk Advisors. Permission granted to
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provided a citation is made to www.millerrisk.com.